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U.S. Coal-Burning Boom Drastically Warmed Arctic |
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Richard A. Lovett for National Geographic News |
| August 9, 2007 |
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Soot emissions from U.S. coal burning may have significantly contributed to pre-1950 global warming in the Arctic, a new study suggests. Soot, emitted naturally into the atmosphere by forest fires, is also a pollutant from human activities such as burning fossil fuels. Winds carried soot from the United States and possibly other countries to the Arctic, where it fell on the snow. The darkened snow then absorbed more solar energy, warming the Arctic climate. Because the sunlight is not reflected back into the atmosphere, the Arctic climate warmed. (Related: "'Brown Clouds' Contribute to Himalaya Glacier Melt" [August 1, 2007].) At its worst, U.S. soot pollution was eight times more powerful in warming the Arctic springtime than the soot from forest fires, said study lead author Joseph McConnell, a snow hydrologist at the Desert Research Institute in Nevada. In 1900 the soot's effect on warming was about as strong as the effect of all of the carbon dioxide that the Industrial Age dumped into the atmosphere up until that time, McConnell said. (What is global warming?.) "This is much bigger than anybody would ever have expected," he said. "Blow-You-Away Amazing" The research team measured soot deposits in a Greenland ice core, which contained snow that fell from 1788 to 2002. To distinguish the effects of forest fires from those of coal burning, McConnell and colleagues measured not only the amount of soot the ice held, but also the amounts of sulfur and a chemical called vanillin. Vanillin is produced during forest fires, while sulfur is produced by acid rain from coal burning and other industrial activities. The analysis, which appears online this week in the journal Science, was so precise that the scientists were able to distinguish not only the annual amount of soot falling on the snow from each source, but also season-to-season pollution. The study is "blow-you-away amazing," said Richard Alley, a climate researcher from Pennsylvania State University who was not involved in the study. "They pull up this core of ice, melt a little plug through the middle, pull out the meltwater, and say, This is the summer in 1874, or That is the winter of 1972," he said. "And they're right." Snow's ability to reflect sunlight is almost uniquely sensitive to soot, Alley added. "Fresh snow reflects more than nine-tenths of sunlight, so even soaking up a little more makes a difference." Not surprisingly, McConnell's team found that prior to 1850 most of the soot was from summer forest fires. But in the late-19th and early-20th centuries, much larger quantities of soot spewed into the air from winter coal burning. When the United States switched to oil and gas and instituted air pollution controls, the amount of soot falling in the Arctic dropped substantially. Still a Factor? But that doesn't mean soot isn't still a factor in Arctic warming. The booming economies of Asia, McConnell noted, are burning a lot of coal. (Related: "Asia Pollution Changing World's Weather, Scientists Say" [March 6, 2007].) And while not much of that soot falls on the Arctic glaciers of Greenland, it might be having an impact on other regions, such as Alaska. Overall, Alley of Penn State noted, soot only produces short-term warming. This year's sooty snow either melts and disappears, or gets buried by next year's snow. "If you look out 100 or 200 years—in a business-as-usual world, if we just keep doing what we're doing—carbon dioxide comes to dominate everything," he said. (Read about the high costs of coal.) But technology can cut down worldwide emissions and "buy some time," he said. Lead author McConnell agrees: "There is technology to keep [soot] emissions quite low," he said. "The question is, who's using it?" Free Email News Updates Sign up for our Inside National Geographic newsletter. Every two weeks we'll send you our top stories and pictures (see sample). |
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